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Today’s Racing News: Watson and Doyle make a Mehmentos 285-mile journey to Newcastle

Again, there are just three meetings on offer for punters, but there’s an interesting traveller to Newcastle today. Catterick sees one runner 22lbs better off with another in a three-horse race, and Leicester has a puzzling card for punters to solve.

Let’s go!

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

16:35 Leicester – Benefaktor 7/2 into 5/2
17:55 Newcastle – Eyes – 12/1 into 17/2
19:00 Newcastle – Mehmento 5/1 into 7/2

The morning market drifters !

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

19:30 Newcastle – Genato 11/4 OUT 7/2

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

In the 13:30 at Catterick, Cornerstone Lad 1.910/11 is 22lbs better off with Mackenberg 2.47/5 for an 11 length defeat last time at Carlisle. The obvious scenario is for Cornerstone Lad to reverse the form at these weights, yet Mackenberg is the horse that arrives on a steep upward curve and represents a trainer with a 20% strike rate over fences at this venue. It could pay to go against the grain here and stick with Mackenberg.

In the 14:05 at Catterick, Getaway Jewel 4.57/2 suggested a return to form was imminent here 34 days ago. His jockey Alain Cawley is profitable to back to GBP106 for a GBP1 level stake this term.

Jockey Tom Cannon is an interesting booking for trainer Oliver Sherwood at Leicester in the 13:50 onboard Cilaos Grace 2.915/8. Cannon rode this horse to victory at Fontwell and then was travelling well before coming down next time. However, Cilaos Grace has a poor record right-handed, and it may pay to look elsewhere, perhaps at Star Of Rory 7.06/1, whose trainer has a 33% strike rate over fences at this venue.

In the 16:35 at Leicester, jockey Mr Dale Peters has a 60% strike rate when riding for owner David Kemp. Today he rides Rebel Dawn Rising 1.910/11.

Trainer David Barron has a 22% strike rate on the all-weather this term and sends Viva Voce 8.515/2 to Newcastle in the 17:55.

In the 19:00 at Newcastle, Venturous 2.47/5 has an excellent four for seven record at this venue, but none of those has come over today’s six-furlong trip. The wind surgery needs to positively affect ten-year-old Judicial 2.26/5, who was disappointing last time, and Ex Gratia 7.06/1 has a big task on her hands on just her third career start.

Mehmento 4.57/2 could be a big improver for this drop back to 6f and partners with Hollie Doyle, who has a 21% strike rate for trainer Archie Watson.

Jockey Connor Beasley has a 23% strike rate at Newcastle and today rides Rabat 19.018/1 in the 19:30.

Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.

15:15 Catterick – Sigurd – Has won here twice (67%)
16:50 Newcastle – Lopes Dancer – Has won here five times (24%)
17:55 Newcastle – Eagles Rock – Has won here twice (25%)

Weighted to go well

“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

13:00 Catterick – Glan Y Gors – Has won off 115 runs off 94
19:30 Newcastle – One Hart – Has won off 79 runs off 69

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.Jockey Tom Cannon has ridden six winners from his last 20 rides and today heads to Leicester. He has a 30% strike rate over hurdles at this venue and a 19% strike rate over fences.Furthest traveller

Today’s furthest traveller is trainer Archie Watson with his runner at Newcastle in the 19:00, Mehmento 4.57/2. The trainer has made the 285-mile journey.

Race of the day

We head to Newcastle for their 18:30 Class 5 Handicap, where a small field of five head to post in a competitive heat.

SBK9/4

EXC4.3

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Phil Dennis
Age: 5
Weight: 9st 7lbs
OR: 73

War Defender got back in the winner’s enclosure when last seen 33 days ago after making all of the runnings at a modest gallop to cling on in a better race than this, and a three pounds rise shouldn’t be enough to stop him going in again if in the same vein of form.

This represents a drop in grade, and there’s no reason why he won’t run well, especially if he adopts similar front running tactics. There’s little pace on paper in this contest, and he may be able to dictate matters on the front end again.

He has likeable claims, providing he can be trusted to back up his latest effort.

SBK11/5

EXC3

Trainer: Ben Haslam
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Age: 5
Weight: 9st 6lbs
OR: 72

Millionaire Waltz is nothing if not consistent but has struggled to get his head back in front off slow gallops the last thrice, and today’s scenario doesn’t look as though he will fair much better.

He does now step up in trip to 1m for the first time, and the way he has finished out his races over 7f off dawdling gallops gives confidence that he will see out this new trip.

The step up to 1m could be a source of improvement, and he has been well supported in his latest starts, so he is not one to write off, even if today’s conditions are not ideal.

SBK11/4

EXC3.5

Trainer: Antony Brittain
Jockey: Cam Hardie
Age: 5
Weight: 9st 2lbs
OR: 68

Abnaa has a useful turn of foot for the level, and although not 100% convincing at this 1m trip, the lack of pace on offer could play to his strengths.

His new mark has kicked in now, and this is his fifth run in four weeks which is a slight cause for concern, so he may be best watched.

Big race verdict

It’s a tricky contest, but all three wins for War Defender have come on the all-weather, and he is well-handicapped in a race where he is likely able to boss the field from the front, so it’s hard to pick holes in him. He gets the narrow vote over Millionaire Waltz, who should make a good fist of this.

Timeform hoping to hit a purple patch at Newcastle

Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a NAP, Next Best and Each Way selection at Newcastle on Tuesd

Read Timeform tips here.

Calvin’s in the mood for a Saturday punt

Tony was in winning form this weekend with Cap du Nord at Kempton and now casts his antepost tipping eye on the Morebattle Hurdle

Read Tony’s column here.

Final Word – Stable tours

The Cheltenham stable tours have been fantastic reads this season, but how much should punters read into them and take literally? Of course, they can hold snippets of information you may otherwise not have known – potential targets are a good example.Reading between the lines of these and trainer quotes and reacting in the market is a good angle. Here’s a good example, owner of L’Homme Presse recently said,
“We won’t make our decision about which race he runs in until late, and we will be on weather watch. If the meeting starts on good to soft, you can bet there won’t be any soft in the going description by Thursday or Friday.”
In other words, L’Homme Presse would need it to be soft ground to run in the Turners (Thursday), so he is more likely to go to the Brown Advisory (Wednesday) – is what I took from it. He is currently 5/1 for that easier assignment and 7/2 for the Turners, which looks like a much stiffer task.Other than potential targets and the well-being of horses, most of it is simply a trainer’s opinion, and while they are very much respected, it’s always wise to have your own and not be swayed!Take out the valuable info, targets, potential non-runners, and read between the lines – they are never going to tell you their Martin Pipe horse, for example.I must admit, my favourite comment of the week came from Patrick Mullins when someone asked in a Q&A, how good is Vauban? And he simply said, better than Pied Piper.Until tomorrow, be lucky.Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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