Monday’s racing comes from Ludlow, Taunton and Wolverhampton and here to arm you with all the daily betting info, news, stats and angles is Daryl Carter.
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
The morning market drifters !
Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
15:15 Ludlow – Java Point 7/4 OUT 5/2
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
In the 14:00 Maiden Hurdle at Taunton, San Giovanni 3.55/2, Natty Night 3.02/1, and Mister Splash 8.07/1 renew rivalry after finishing in that order at Wincanton behind the useful Holly last time out. However, it could pay to take a closer look at Dan Skelton’s Yvette Guilbert 5.59/2, who was a big eye-catcher at Southwell last time and outran her big odds of 40/1.
In the 14:30 Simon Stacey Memorial Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase, trainer Gary Moore is just one for 29 over fences at Taunton. Trainer Martin Keighley is zero for seven, and Paul Nicholls’ All Dancer makes his British debut after 455 days off the track. Quoi De Neuf 2.68/5 may have found a good opportunity for back to back wins despite the ten pounds hike in the ratings.
In the 15:30 Handicap Chase, trainer Ben Pauling saddles Artemision 8.515/2. The trainer has a 60% strike rate with runners over fences at Taunton.
In the 14:45 Maiden Hurdle, jockey Richard Partick and the owner Exors Of The Late Trevor Hemmings have a 60% strike rate when partnering. Today they team up with Bridge North 2.47/5 at Ludlow.
In the 15:45 Bumper at Ludlow, trainer Fergal O’Brien has the favourite Fearless Beauty 2.47/5 but is one for 14 in here in bumpers.
Jockey Joanna Mason and trainer Stella Barclay have often featured in this column with their excellent 50% strike rate. They partner with Dark Design 3.02/1 in the 16:00 Apprentice Handicap at Wolverhampton.
In the 16:30 Fillies’ Handicap at Wolverhampton, jockey Jason Watson has a 40% strike rate when riding for trainer Michael Appleby at this venue. They partner with Khatwah 4.03/1.
The featured 18:00 Conditions race at Wolverhampton sees Fox Tal 2.35/4 head the three runner race, but he is not straightforward and cannot be relied upon, especially in this small field scenario. Dark Pine 2.47/5 is the opposite and could easily have more to offer.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.
13:15 Ludlow – Legends Gold – Has won here twice (50%)
15:00 Taunton – Birds Of Prey – Has won here twice (40%)
17:30 Wolverhampton – Pink Jazz – Has won here three times (43%)
18:30 Wolverhampton – Atiyah – Has won here twice (40%)
19:00 Wolverhampton – Hooflepuff – Has won here six times (33%)
Weighted to go well
“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
16:00 Wolverhampton – Broughtons Flare – Has won off 65 runs off 52
18:30 Wolverhampton – Zapper Class – Has won off 82 runs off 72
18:30 Wolverhampton – Ornate – Has won off 97 runs off 80
19:00 Wolverhampton – Songkran – Has won off 85 runs off 73
This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.
Trainer David Barron has had three winners from five runners in the last 14 days. Today he saddles Atiyah 6.05/1 18:30 Wolverhampton.
Today’s furthest traveller is trainer Philip Kirby who makes the 172-mile journey for the one runner on the Ludlow card. He saddles Mayway 41.040/1 in the finale at 15:45 and this is his first runner in a bumper at Ludlow.
Race of the day
We head to Ludlow for their competitive 13:15 3m1 1/2f Handicap Chase. A field of seven go to post in what will likely prove testing conditions, so it’s a surprise to see Kerry Lee’s Demachine 2.111/10 such a short-priced favourite when looking like a non-stayer in the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury on seasonal return.
There is a chance that he would have needed the first run of the season, but he has a good record fresh, and connections made no secret that it was the plan to go there first time out.
He is a very likeable horse, but it’s difficult to see where his form entitles him to be such a short-priced favourite off this handicap mark of 140.
The swtich back to a right-handed track and the soft ground are both in his favour yet it would be surprising should something else have a bit mroe in hand off the handicapper.
That horse could be Jatiluwih, who has been dropped five pounds by the handicapper despite shaping well on reappearance at Ascot and looking in need of the run.
That should have put him spot-on for this return to Ludlow for which he won on his first British start in good style over hurdles.
He is relatively unexposed over fences in Britain, and his recent Hunter Chase second has worked out well, with the winner scoring in excellent style in a hot Veterans Handicap at Aintree next time out.
He sits ten pounds below his hurdle mark and is entitled to improve a good deal in this sphere, especially with the strongest hurdle form in the race. He is also unexposed over this 3m trip and looks a strong stayer for which the softer surface will play to his strengths.
He looks a good bet at the morning odds here.
Legends Gold has won on her last two visits to this venue over hurdles so it would be no surprise to see her play a strong hand at the finish today.
The softer surface also benefits her chances, and a repeat of her penultimate third at Bangor will see her go close.
She needs to take a step forward and is starting to look exposed, but this track could give her an edge.
Big race verdict
A competitive race, but JATILUWIH looks a good bet here at anything above 5.04/1, and it’s likely the David Maxwell factor has had an effect on the price. He is the least exposed in the field, has ground, track and trip all in his favour and holds the strongest hurdle form in the race. His jumping needs to brush up, but he is open to further improvement.
Timeform looking to Dan and Harry Skelton for a profitable Monday
Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a Nap, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Taunton on Monday.
Cheltenham Festival Focus – A 20/1 chance
This weeks Cheltenham Festival Focus sees Daryl Carter add a 20/1 Grand Annual pick to his growing ante-post portfolio.
I am still very much buzzing on the back of Constitution Hill’s performance in the Grade 1 Tolworth at Sandown on Saturday, and for once, it’s nice for Britain to unearth a real star of the Novice Hurdling Division.
Shishkin and Altior have both been stand-out Novice Hurdlers for Britain in the last ten years, but it’s been a dry well other than those two.
Interestingly all three come from the same yard, so what is Nicky Henderson and the Irish doing that the rest of Britain isn’t?
Nico de Boinville described the performance as special after the race, and for a man who speaks with a good deal of caution usually, he could hardly contain himself.
I have the feeling that Constitution Hill has always been their number one for the Supreme Novice Hurdle and Jonbon, more of a long term project. There have been a few interviews where the excellence of Jonbon has been seemingly forced on Nicky Henderson by the interviewer rather than Nicky saying it himself, and I think Hendo has gotten all caught up in the hype himself.
Either way, he has two useful horses to go to war with for the Supreme Novice Hurdle, but it’s no secret which is top of the Seven Barrows tree.
Until tomorrow, be lucky.
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