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Today’s Racing News: Gustavian to finally come good for Honeyball team at Exeter

Tuesday’s racing action comes from Exeter, Newcastle and Southwell, and as always, Daryl Carter is on hand with all your betting info, stats and angles.

A day where it’s fair to say that quantity outweighs quality at all three meetings, but we head to Exeter to try and work out a tricky Novices Handicap Chase puzzle and re-visit yesterday’s final word topic where punters have their say.

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

12:50 Newcastle – Bingoo 17/2 into 7/1
14:40 Exeter – Stratton Oakmont 22/1 into 10/1
17:20 Southwell – Cometh The Man 11/1 into 9/1

The morning market drifters !

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

18:50 Southwell – Tadleel 7/4 OUT 2/1

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

In the opening 13:10 Novice Handicap Chase at Exeter, Gustavian 2.68/5 will attempt to get off the mark over fences and look to boost Anthony Honeyball’s 21% strike rate over fences. He was a big eye-catcher at Chepstow when even an almost race-ending blunder wasn’t enough to stop him finish off his race strongly – see race of the day.

In the 13:40 Maiden Hurdle at Exeter, trainer Hughie Morrison is looking for his first win over hurdles with Miss Fairfax 2.111/10. The trainer is zero for five but won’t have many better opportunities than this.

This season, Jockey Chester Williams has a whopping 56% strike rate at Exeter. Today, he rides Keplerian 9.08/1 in the 14:10 Maiden Hurdle.

Trainer Jack Barber has a 60% strike rate over fences at Exeter, and today he runs Doyannie 9.08/1 and the returning Shintori 11.010/1 in the 15:40 Handicap Chase.

Trainer James Moffatt does well at Newcastle in bumpers having had four winners from 21 runners. Today he saddles newcomer Bingoo 9.08/1 in the 12:50.

Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.

15:25 Newcastle – Kauto D’Amour – Has won here twice (67%)
15:40 Exeter – Tudor’s Treasure – Has won here three times (38%)
18:20 Southwell – Carausius – Has won here three times (75%)

Weighted to go well

“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

14:40 Exeter – Daytime Ahead – Has won off 105 runs off 90
15:25 Newcastle – Kaizer – Has won off 114 runs off 104
17:20 Southwell – Lethal Angel – Has won off 63 runs off 51

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.

Jockey Aidan Coleman has a 40% strike rate in the last 14 days. He has ridden eight winners from his last 20 rides and today goes to Exeter for Firestream 2.68/5 in the 16:10.

Furthest traveller

Trainer Clair Harris makes the 342-mile journey to Newcastle with her sole runner Getalead 6.511/2at 15:25. This is her sole entrant at Newcastle as her runner drops back in class and steps up to 3m for the first time. Big chance.

Race of the day

We head to Exeter for their 13:10 Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase, in which a small but select field of five goes to post for the 3m contest. A competitive heat headed at the top of the market by Anthony Honeyball’s Gustavian, who unseated at the first on his penultimate start at this venue and then made an almost race-ending blunder at Chepstow on his latest outing, which cost him his first chase win.



Trainer: Anthony Honeyball
Jockey: Rex Dingle
Age: 7
Weight: 11st 8lbs
OR: 135

Gustavian arrives here on the same handicap mark of 135, and he looks a winner in waiting given the way he picked up strongly and closed right to the line at Chepstow. He now moves up to 3m for the first time over fences and faces a lesser contest than that of his debut third at Uttoxeter.

He has always shaped like a thorough stayer, and he has an excellent Maiden Hurdle win at this track. He will relish the soft ground and this stiff track, and he ticks plenty of boxes today, providing he gets a clear round and is very hard to oppose.



Trainer: Fergal O’Brien
Jockey: Liam Harrison
Age: 8
Weight: 10st 9lbs
OR: 122

Huntsmans Jog is likely to give the favourite most to think about and arrives here after a solid effort over course and distance in a competitive heat in December off three pounds lower.

He is remarkably consistent but, as a result, is six pounds higher in the handicap than his last win in December 2020, but he likes it here, and there is no reason why he won’t go well.

He is most likely to pick up the pieces should the favourite falter.



Trainer: Seamus Mullins
Jockey: James Best
Age: 8
Weight: 10st 4lbs
OR: 117

Moroder is up four pounds for his latest victory at Plumpton after putting his seasonal return at this track well behind him, but he now has new questions to answer tackled with this stiffer test of stamina.

His wins have come on sharp left-handed tracks, Fakenham and Plumpton, and although he has run well over hurdles at this course whether he wants a 3m slog in the mud is a question that needs answering.

Big race verdict

GUSTAVIAN can finally get off the mark over fences with this new trip a good source of improvement for the lightly raced seven-year-old who easily has the strongest form in the book. Huntsmans Jog is offered up for forecast purposes.

Timeform head to Exeter for a bit of Miss’s Fairfax

Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a Nap, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Exeter on Tuesday.

Supreme Novice Hurdle preview

Betfair have kicked off their Cheltenham Festival previews, and first out the gate is Daryl Carter with a closer look at the Supreme Novice Hurdle.

Final Word

The final result of yesterday’s low sun topic is in this morning, and 67% of 1,021 votes suggested that they thought that their bet should not stand if a race removes 50% of the obstacles.

What’s more, some of the comments were extremely interesting from both parties.

A passionate argument from Olly here, all be it unrealistic, but you get his point of the race conditions changing dramatically and the uproar it would cause.

This is an excellent point by Steve Mullington, and he hits the nail on the head for many punters. When a situation like low sun removes 50% or more of the obstacles, they feel there is nothing they can do about their bet already struck, and they have to suffer the consequences like some sort of misfortune.

Elsie made a good point from the other side of the fence, and while I agree to an extent, you are compensated in the event of a non-runner as the R4 favours the punter. Also, we are talking about 50% not just the odd one or two hurdles.

An interesting topic if nothing else, but one thing is clear, no one is happy about the change of race conditions – and yes, we all know this is a safety issue – but there has to be an innovative way to avoid this in the future.

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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