Friday’s racing brings action from Lingfield, Wetherby, Dundalk and Wolverhampton. Here to arm you with all of the days betting information is Daryl Carter.
It’s the height of the jumps season, yet we have just one meeting over the sticks at Wetherby on Friday, which seems rather odd. Lingfield, Dundalk and Wolverhampton dominate the day with their all-weather racing and today kicks off one of the lesser weekends in the National Hunt season.
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
The morning market drifter
Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
14:00 Wetherby – Grand Turina 11/8 OUT 2/1
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
In the 16:30 Fillies’ Novice Stakes, trainer William Haggas hasn’t had a first-time out winner at Wolverhampton since 2016 and is one for 13 with such horses. He saddles favourite Criollo 2.35/4, who may be worth taking on?
In the 17:00 Handicap, trainer Nicky Henderson has had two winners from seven runners at Wolverhampton for a 29% strike rate. He saddles a rare flat runner today with Impulsive One 2.47/5 and has booked Hollie Doyle for the ride.
The bookmakers continue to ignore the Stella Barclay and Joanna Mason 57% strike rate angle. They scored with Selecto for this column on Tuesday and today partner with Mansfield 13.012/1 in the 17:30 at Wolverhampton. The last time Joanna Mason rode Mansfield, he won back in May 2019.
In the 19:00 Handicap at Wolverhampton, jockey Aled Beech takes the ride on Global Vision 15.014/1 and will look to enhance his 50% strike rate for trainer Chris Dwyer.
Trainer William Haggas has had four winners from seven runners in the last 14 days, and he has a 21% strike rate with three-year-old fillies at Lingfield. Today he saddles Caryatid 4.03/1 in the 14:50 Novice Stakes.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.
Weighted to go well
“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
13:05 Lingfield – Agent Of Fortune – Has won off 76 runs off 56
14:15 Lingfield – Ornate – Has won off 97 runs off 84
17:00 Wolverhampton – Culture – Has won off 84 runs off 74
19:00 Wolverhampton – Chookie Dunedin – Has won off 80 runs off 70
This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.
Trainer Rebecca Menzies continues in fine form and is now operating at a 42% strike rate. She has had five winners from her last 12 runners and today sends Halcyon Days 9.08/1 and Bolton 3.02/1 to Wetherby in the 15:05 and 15:35 and Three Platoon 2.47/5 to Wolverhampton in the 17:00.
All three British meetings have trainers that make long journeys today, but two trainers send just one runner to their respective meetings.
Lingfield – Trainer Karl Burke makes the 272-mile journey with his sole runner Shallow Hal 8.07/1 in the 14:15.
Wetherby – Trainer David Pipe makes the 263-mile journey for one runner at Wetherby today. He saddles Morgenstern 23.022/1 in the 14:35.
Race of the day
Slim pickings today, but Wetherby’s 14:00 Handicap Chase looks like a competitive heat, and there could be an angle to take on the market leader who will surely go off bigger than the current 11/8 at the time of writing.
Grand Turina heads the market after back to back wins, and stable number one jockey Charlie Deutsch takes over from ten-pound claimer Ned Fox.
She was impressive at Warwick and clearly has no issues with testing ground, but she is now effectively ten pounds higher with the removal of the claimer, and both of her wins have come in Veteran Handicap Chases.
She takes on younger unexposed rivals today, and this could be a step too far despite being in career-best form.
Coopers Cross represents a gambling yard, so the market may best reflect his chances. However, on paper, he has good claims on this step into open handicap company taking on some exposed rivals. Only his jumping let him down in the closing stages at Newcastle behind a fellow improver.
The handicapper has raised him just one pound for that effort which looks more than fair, and his unexposed profile is an attractive one in this contest.
The drop in trip looks like a good move by connections, and although he will need to step forward again, that’s entirely possible after just three chase starts.
Guetapan Collonges is another unexposed horse in this field and arrives off the back of a promising second start over fences when third at Uttoxeter.
He was better than the bare result on that occasion after a slip at the eighth and stuck to the task nicely after the final flight. That form has worked out well with the runner-up scoring next time and up nine pounds in the handicap, so this same mark shouldn’t prove beyond the Charlie Longsdon runner.
The soft ground today should hold no fears, but his jumping does need to tighten up for this course. A blemish-free round should see him in the mix.
Big race verdict
A competitive contest and the unexposed trio of Greyville, Guetapan Collonges and COOPERS CROSS look the way to go here. While Coopers Cross’ chances may rely on the market speaking favourably for him, his profile is an attractive one, and his latest form looks to have been underestimated by the market.
Timeform pull the trigger at Lingfield for a fruitful Friday
Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a Nap, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Lingfield on Friday.
Tony Calvin goes in for a second bite of the Apple at Wincanton on Saturday
Tony Calvin casts his eye over the ITV races on Saturday where there’s good news for his antepost picks at both Sandown and Wincanton…
Daryl looking for back to back winning Saturday NAPS
Wincanton’s Saturday card is the trickiest I have seen for some time, but I hope Neil Mulholland’s Planned Paradise can make it a worthwhile trip to the somerset venue and land the 13:30 Handicap Hurdle.
The Betfair Sportsbook are offering money back if your horse fails to finish in 1st, 2nd or 3rd, in the each-way, win and exchange markets up to ?10. T&Cs apply.
He showed very little in three Maiden Hurdles (two for this trainer) until he switched to front running tactics on handicap debut at Newcastle last time. Those three runs in Maiden contests suggested he had always been trained with handicaps in mind. The typical “held up at the rear of the field and outpaced” excuses were given, but they look weak given his time figure at Newcastle.
Planned Paradise was eight lengths faster than the Novice Hurdle winner in the previous race, Since Day One, an odds-on chance that won by 14 lengths and is rated 125. Planned Paradise also carried nine pounds more on his back and recorded the card’s fastest furlong per furlong time, so the initial 11 pounds rise from the handicapper doesn’t look beyond him.
I wouldn’t usually use a time figure as a sole reason to back a horse, quite the opposite actually, but his point-to-point form is another reason to believe that he can leave this new handicap mark of 104 behind with that form working out well, which includes a horse rated 116.
Connections may implement the same tactics here, and front runners have a great record at Wincanton. His unexposed profile in a race full of exposed horses makes him very appealing.
There have been plenty of whispers that rival Pittsburg, who landed a big gamble at Catterick last time, has some affiliation with Irish trainer Ronan McNally – a notorious gambling yard. Still, I have yet to confirm that with extensive research, it may be nonsense, although the runner is still feared given his similar profile to the selection.
Final Word – get a grip!
Not surprisingly, Classic Getaway was beaten on hurdle debut yesterday by stablemate Cash Back. Cash Back, a 156 rated chaser, was relatively unexposed over hurdles, having gone close in a Grade 2 contest when last seen in this sphere and set a very stiff task for one making his hurdle debut off the back of a 226-day break.
Classic Getaway, the joint-most expensive point to point recruit ran a blinding race, in my opinion, (watch here) given he ran with the choke out for much of the contest only to be put to bed by his rival after the last. There were plenty of positives about the performance, yet the social media comments were outrageously dismissive of his ability.
It’s remarkable when you open your eyes to a Twitter search to see what people believe and think to be true when it comes to horses.
The task set for Classic Getaway was huge and underestimated by the market, but it seems those with little knowledge of the sport want a horse with a stack of ones next to his name – otherwise, they are deemed as useless.
The mind boggles! Until Monday, be lucky.
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