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Today’s Racing News: Eyes on State Man at Limerick and Venetia at Ffos Las

Tuesday brings us four race meetings from Ffos Las, Newcastle, Limerick and Wolverhampton for punters and on duty, as always, with a helping hand, is Daryl Carter…

“The market is led by Venetia Williams’ Desque De L’Isle, who returns to the scene of his last victory and drops in grade after fairing better than the bare result on a couple of occasions this term, and has big claims here.”

It’s Tuesday and a day of quantity over quality, although the potentially very useful State Man will have many peoples attention turned to Limerick this afternoon. He should be winning this in cruise control given the lack of depth, and where he will go come March will undoubtedly be the question on everybody’s lips come 15:15.

Ffos Las has a good card. It may pay to take a very, very small chance one at a wild price of 66/1 in the “form watch” section, while the most substantial bet of the day will be one of Venetia Williams’ runners.

Let’s get cracking.

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

13:30 Newcastle – Vintage Fizz – 15/2 into 5/1
14:20 Ffos Las – Rose Sea Has – 10/3 into 11/4
15:30 Newcastle – Cancan – 11/4 into 85/40

The morning market drifters !

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

14:30 Newcastle – Peaceful Sunday 11/4 out 3/1

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

The opening 12:20 Bumper at Newcastle is run on the all-weather surface, and Ri Na Farriaige 2.35/4 will look for back-to-back wins after scoring impressively last month to provide trainer Richard Fahey with his first bumper win at Newcastle. The trainer is now one for ten at this venue in bumpers.

In the 12:55 Handicap at Newcastle, trainer Charlie Longsdon has made the 247-mile journey for just one runner with Freethinker 4.03/1. Longsdon is two for five 40% over hurdles at Newcastle.

Trainer Jedd O’Keeffe has a healthy 28% strike rate over hurdles at Newcastle, and his runner in the 13:30 Novices’ Hurdle, Vintage Fizz 8.515/2, caught the eye over course and distance when the saddle slipped behind a useful type last month.

In the 17:50 at Wolverhampton, jockey Daniel Muscutt has a 24% strike rate when riding for Mike Murphy at this venue and today rides Le Reveur 3.55/2.

At Wolverhampton in the 18:20 Handicap, jockey Jason Watson has a 50% strike rate when riding for trainer Michael Appleby at this venue. Today they partner with Whittle Le Woods 2.89/5.

At Ffos Las in the 14:50 Handicap Hurdle, jockey Harry Reed has a 38% strike rate when riding for owners Mark and Maria Adams. Today he rides Romeo’s Bond 8.07/1.

Paul Nicholls horses are over-bet in bumpers at Ffos Las, and he has a one for seven record. Anthony Honeyball has a 21% strike rate and today saddles newcomer Dear Ralphy 6.05/1 in the 16:20.

In the 15:10 at Limerick, Stateman 1.330/100 is short odds to make amends for his debut fall at Leopardstown and rightly so. He was travelling very strongly in a well-run race before coming down. He is one to watch very closely!

Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.

17:50 Wolverhampton – Pink Jazz – Has won here three times (38%)
19:20 Wolverhampton – Bare Grils – Has won here three times (75%)

Weighted to go well

“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

14:20 Ffos Las – Billingsley – Has won off 129 runs off 103
15:50 Ffos Las – Dariya – Has won off 103 runs off 85
16:50 Wolverhampton – Griggy – Has won off 65 runs off 55

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.

Jockey Jamie Moore has been operating at a 29% strike rate in the last 14 days. He has ridden eight winners from 28 rides. Today he heads to Ffos Las for one ride on Judge Earle 67.066/1 in the 15:20 for trainer Peter Bowen who has a 20% strike rate over fences at this venue.

Judge Earle is on a career-low handicap mark of 96, and although he has struggled in two starts back from an 887-day absence, he is back on good ground today and steps up from 2m to 3m.

The tongue-tie and the cheek-piece combination has been removed, and the last time he was running with all of the above – trip, headgear off and good ground – he was off a handicap mark of 119.

He could be worth a very small play in a wide-open contest but at no shorter than 51.050/1.

Furthest traveller

Trainer Warren Greatrex makes the 282-mile journey to Newcastle today for two runners. He saddles Star Flyer 8.07/1 in the 12:20 and Bolsover Bill 6.05/1 in the 12:55.

Race of the day

We head to Ffos Las today for their competitive 14:20 David Lloyd Memorial Handicap Chase in a race that sees six runners head to post.



Trainer: Venetia Williams
Jockey: Charlie Deutsch
Age: 9
Weight: 11st 12lbs
OR: 117

The market is led by Venetia Williams’ Desque De L’Isle, who returns to the scene of his last victory and drops in grade after fairing better than the bare result on a couple of occasions this term, and has big claims here.

The nine-year-old has been kept to right-handed tracks this season, but a return to a left-handed track will likely suit him much better after hanging at Wincanton last time out.

This is far easier than some of his assignments this term, and he seemingly had Court Royale held on his previous visit to this venue when badly hampered by a loose horse jumping into him.

He looks the obvious answer to this contest and should take some stopping.



Trainer: Jonjo O’Neill
Jockey: Jonjo O’Neill Jr.
Age: 7
Weight: 11st 10lbs
OR: 115

File Illico got off the mark in first-time cheek-pieces at Wetherby on heavy ground last month and is fairly unexposed over fences with a two for four record.

Both victories have come on heavy ground, and the return to a sounder surface is not ideal, and his jumping will need improving on to land this contest.

He can jump out to the right, which could be cause for concern for his backers, but he is rightfully towards the top of the market.



Trainer: Alastair Ralph
Jockey: Jay Tidball
Age: 10
Weight: 10st 12lbs
OR: 103

Billingsley has fallen way down the handicap and could play a significant role in proceedings if on a going day. The handicapper has dropped him 17lbs in two runs after showing very little this term in three starts, and connections now stick on a ten pound claiming jockey to ease the burden even further.

He is racing off such a low handicap mark it’s hard to ignore, but it’s hard to take any confidence from his latest efforts and maybe best watched.

Big race verdict

Desque De L’Isle is the way to go after shaping better than the bare result on multiple occasions in better company and providing a clear round he can get back to winning ways. Rose Sea Has is feared more than File Illico, but she may want a deeper surface.

Timeform go to war with a King at Wolves

Timeform’s Adam Houghton highlights a NAP, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Wolverhampton on Tuesday.

Final Word

Kilcruit was impressive yesterday when finally getting off the mark over hurdles, but he beat nothing and was given an easy time out in front. It’s clear that he possesses a big engine and can travel at a high cruising speed, and that will hold him in good stead come March with all roads leading to the Supreme Novice Hurdle.

Kilcruit’s jumping certainly needs work to be competitive in that race, as does his stablemate Classic Getaway who looks set for the Albert Bartlett after a workman like success at the same Punchestown venue.

I wasn’t overly impressed with the latter. I expected that finishing kick once hitting the front, but it was non-existent. Perhaps he was green or idling once hitting the front? Still, it wasn’t the usual exciting stuff that Cheltenham Festival winners are made of, and this year’s festival may come too soon.

Yes, I know this section has turned into Cheltenham talk, but my friends, get used to it! All roads lead to March!

Until tomorrow, be lucky.
Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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