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Today’s Racing News: Dance into a new week with a punt on pop at Wolverhampton

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Trainer David Loughnane will look to keep up his excellent 40% strike rate with two-year-olds this season. He saddles Northern Rose 34.033/1 in the 14:00 at Catterick and on the all-weather at Wolverhampton in the 14:10 saddles newcomer La Mia Dutchessa 15.014/1.

In the 15:30 at Catterick, Sfumato 8.07/1 has three course and distance wins under his belt, and two have come when returning to the track after running elsewhere. Today he returns to Catterick and gets his favoured good ground.

At Wolverhampton in the 14:40, Pop Dancer 13.012/1 has been well supported overnight 33/1 into 9/1. Trainer Tony Carroll is profitable GBP108 to a GBP1 level stake over 5f on the all-weather in the last five years.

At Wolverhampton in the 15:40, trainer David Loughnane has had two first time out gelded winners from 14 runner runners for a 16% strike rate. He is operating at a 25% strike rate in the last 28 days and today saddles class dropper Robasta 5.59/2.

Jockey Andrew Mullen is profitable to back GBP102.60 to a GBP1 level stake when riding for trainer Ben Haslam. Today they partner with Cobra Kai 7.513/2 in the 16:20 at Musselburgh.

The 18:10 at Windsor could easily go to one of the three-year-olds in the field with their ten pounds weight for age allowance. Fabiosa 15.014/1 is the outsider in the field but took a big step forward on her second start last term, and today makes her second start of the campaign.

Horses for courses

This section highlights the best bets from horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks.

15:30 Catterick – Redrosezorro – Has won here six times (29%)
15:50 Musselburgh – Primo’s Comet – Has won here five times (28%)
17:05 Windsor – Lawn Ranger – Has won here three times (50%)

Weighted to go well

“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

14:40 Wolverhampton – Pop Dancer – Has won off 82 runs off 67
15:30 Catterick – Redrosezorro – Has won off 80 runs off 67
16:00 Catterick – Glan Y Gors – Has won off 75 runs off 58

Furthest traveller

Today’s furthest traveller is trainer Ed Dunlop who has made the 349-mile journey to Musselburgh with two runners. Martha’s Moment 13:45 and Western Stars 16:50.

Trainer Joseph Parr has also made the same 349-mile journey to Musselburgh with his runners Lucayan 14:20 and Sun Festival 14:50.

Trainer Ed Dunlop has an 18% strike rate at this venue but hasn’t had a runner here in the last five years. Trainer Joseph Parr has just his second runner at this venue in the last five years.

Race of the day

We head to Windsor for their good looking 18:40 Fitzdares Royal Windsor Stakes, which looks like the highest profile race of the day. All four runners make their first appearance at Windsor.

SBK4/9

EXC1.59

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: William Buick
Age: 4
Weight: 9st 7lbs
OR:

Modern News arrives on a steep upward curve. He was a disappointing long term favourite in the Lincoln but bounced right back to form with an excellent handicap win at Newbury last time, and this looks the natural step for him as he attempts to land Listed glory for the first time.

He clearly is the one to beat here, even if this does require another inch or two of improvement, but there are negatives for a few of his rivals, so it may prove a good opening for him with his trainer having an excellent 39% strike rate at this venue in the last five years.

SBK7/2

EXC4.1

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: David Probert
Age: 6
Weight: 9st 7lbs
OR:

Bell Rock would have excellent claims in these calmer waters should he put his best foot forward today. It should concern backers that he has yet to win away from Newmarket, but there will be fewer better opportunities than today’s contest.

His ideal conditions have always been fresh and at Newmarket, but he sets a good standard down in grade today, and his price does look a little generous. If you’re looking to take on the favourite, look no further.

SBK9/1

EXC9

Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: Adam Kirby
Age: 4
Weight: 9st 7lbs
OR:

Catch Twentytwo has earned his lofty rating of 114 in South Africa but wasn’t disgraced on his first British start at Newmarket when behind Bell Rock. He dropped away quickly inside the final furlong but is entitled to need that effort, and an improved showing could be on the way.

Still, he needs more here.

Big race verdict

A tight heat, but Modern News can take the step up in grade in his stride, and connections look to have found a good opportunity for him to score. He is open to plenty of improvement and faces mainly exposed rivals today. It won’t be plain sailing should Bell Rock rediscover some of his best form, but it’s hard to be confident. Still, that one can follow him home.

Timeform looking for a royal winner at Windsor

Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a NAP and Next Best selection at Windsor on Monday.

Class drop could prove the key to Pop Dancer

Very few interest me today in terms of a betting proposition, but at Wolverhampton in the 14:40, Pop Dancer 10.09/1 could be worth a small, one-way play.

SBK9/1

EXC8.8

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Luke Morris
Age: 5
Weight: 9st 6lbs
OR: 67

He caught the eye at Epsom on seasonal return in a good Class 3 0-90 event from an unfavourable draw and was denied a clear run when in full flight and had to be checked in his run and switched widest of all (not the place to be) in the closing stages but finished off his race strongly.

He wasn’t entirely in love with the undulations on the track, but that run suggested a return to form was imminent, and he has fallen considerably in the handicap. Today he takes a drop in grade into a Class 5 0-70, and he is entitled to improve for his seasonal return effort. He ran a scorcher on his last visit to this venue when rated 85 in 2020, so the track should prove no issues, and he is drawn fairly in stall five.

There’s good reason to think a bold showing is likely, and the market is very generous with his price – almost as though they haven’t watched his latest run. Reunited with Luke Morris, he can at least hit the frame.

Final Word – What’s on this week?

The best thing about the flat season is week after week, there is excellent racing action. Unlike the National Hunt season, flat racing embraces mid-week racing, so it doesn’t feel like you are sitting there waiting for the Saturday declarations and putting up with the low-graded unreliable rubbish in the meantime.

Chester has just finished, and already attention is now turned to the start of the York Dante Festival on Wednesday.

York never fails to disappoint and always hosts top-class racing throughout the year. It’s a track where horses love to replicate form, so be warned. Previous course winners have an excellent strike rate when returning to the venue. While there are no undulations or quirks, some horses simply don’t like it while others thrive.

On Saturday, we have the Lockinge at Newbury. I will be in attendance for my brother’s stag do. Unfortunately, I have been dragged into doing a tipster talk for the group – unfortunately for him, because he will be the butt of every reseeding hairline joke I can fit in.

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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