Thursday’s racing brings action from Chepstow, Clonmel, Chelmsford and Newcastle. Here to arm you with all of the betting information is Daryl Carter.
Welcome to Thursday, where there are four meetings for punters to get stuck into. We head to Chepstow in search of a hat-trick of victories in the race of the day feature.
Over in Ireland, Classic Getaway costs more than a Rolls Royce Phantom and will make his hurdling debut for Willie Mullins taking on four useful rivals.
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
The morning market drifters !
Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
15:20 Chepstow – Garincha – 5/2 OUT 7/2
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
Chepstow’s opening 12:05 Mares Handicap Hurdle will see David Bridgewater’s Dame Du Soi 5.59/2 attempt to land back to back wins in the contest. His mare reverts back to hurdles after two chase runs this season and returns to the scene of her last hurdle victory two pounds lower in first-time cheek-pieces.
Trainer Alastair Ralph will look to boost his 29% strike rate over hurdles in the 13:10 Maiden Hurdle with Drenagh 3.55/2. The trainer has had four winners from 14 runners over hurdles at this venue.
In Chepstow’s 15:20 Handicap Hurdle, trainer Toby Lawes and jockey Kevin Brogan have a 60% strike rate when partnering. Today they combine with Voyage De Retour 13.012/1.
Jockey JonJo O’Neill Jr heads to Chepstow for one ride on Destin D’ajonc 5.59/2 in the 15:50 Handicap Chase. The nine-year-old returns to the scene of his only success over fences. In the same race, trainer Tom Lacy will hope to enhance his 42% strike rate over fences with Thomas Patrick 15.014/1.
A Star of the future?
The unbeaten Classic Getaway will make his hurdle debut in the 13:50 Munster Hurdle at Clonmel and will face four rivals, including the 156 rated (chaser) and stablemate Cash Back 6.05/1, as well as the 133 rated Uhtred 6.05/1.
A big performance here will almost certainly see him shoot to the head of the Ballymore market, for which he is currently 12/1. A win would also give him the strongest form in the current ante-post market.
In the 13:00 Novice Stakes, trainer Roger Varian saddles Lord Paramount 2.89/5 and has a 30% strike rate with his three-year-olds at Newcastle. The lesser-known jockey taking the ride, Jefferson Smith, has ridden two of his three career winners for Varian.
Trainer Archie Watson makes the long 283-mile journey to Newcastle for the one runner in the 13:30 Handicap. He is 25% with his three-year-olds at this venue. Dusky Prince 8.515/2.
In the 16:00 Apprentice Handicap at Chelmsford, trainer Stuart Williams will look for a third straight win in the race with Alhammaam 3.02/1. The trainer won this event in 2019 and 2020.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.
14:35 Newcastle – Sanaadh – Has won here three times (33%)
14:50 Chepstow – Billingsley – Has won here twice (67%)
15:10 Newcastle – Zenzero – Has won here twice (33%)
15:50 Chepstow – Lord Bryan – Has won here twice (40%)
Weighted to go well
“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
12:05 Chepstow – Ruby Yates – Has won off 113 runs off 104
12:30 Newcastle – Lofty – Has won off 70 runs off 52
14:50 Chepstow – Billingsley – Has won off 129 runs off 110
16:00 Chelmsford – Battle Of Marathon – Has won off 86 runs off 73
17:30 Chelmsford – The Game Of Life – Has won off 59 runs off 46
18:00 Chelmsford – Kraka – Has won off 61 runs off 46
This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.
Trainer Gary Moore has been operating at a 32% strike rate in the last 14 days. Today he sends runners to Chepstow and Chelmsford, with his best chance looking to be Semser 4.57/2 at the latter in the 19:00 Handicap.
Today’s furthest travellers are Archie Watson and Charles Hills, who both make the 283-mile journey to Newcastle.
Race of the day
We take a closer look at Chepstow’s 14:50 Handicap Chase, where two unexposed Novices are battling for favouritism at the head of affairs. Further down the betting are well-handicapped rivals for which a bounce back to form would be no surprise off of their reduced marks.
Can You Call surely has a bright future over the larger obstacles if his first two runs are anything to go by, and he looked sure to play a part in proceedings at Hereford before his unfortunate departure.
At the time, I was concerned that the sharp track at Hereford would not see him to the best effect, so it was somewhat surprising to see him travelling so well before a mistake forced him out of the race.
Connections removed the tongue-tie on that occasion (back on today). His previous run over course and distance in a race that has worked out remarkably well means he deserves the utmost respect off of this handicap mark of 120.
He gains plenty of ground at his fences and looks a natural, and must have a big chance today. However, coming into this competitive race on the back of a fall is far from ideal, and it will be interesting to see how he reacts in the early stages of the race.
Galop De Chasse was zero for four in France but made a very promising introduction for his new yard when a ready winner at Lingfield under today’s heavy conditions. He won with a good bit in hand off an opening handicap mark of 112, and a seven-pound rise looks relatively lenient from the handicapper.
His unexposed profile means the handicapper is guessing to a degree at the level of his ability, and this wouldn’t be the first time that Venetia Williams has found a highly progressive horse from France.
He looks as though he will stay further than this, and the stronger the pace, the better his chances.
Le Legerien is talented but frustrating, and his chase record is far from blemish-free. Still, he arrives on a career-low handicap mark of 112 and the return to a deep surface for the first time since rated 127 looks a big positive.
This Class 4 contest looks more his level these days, and he did perform with credit on his only visit to this venue over hurdles. He is one of three likely pace angles in the race, and under these conditions, he could prove tough to catch if implementing his usual tearaway tactics.
He comes with plenty of risks attached, especially given he was well-held on his first start after returning to this yard on the back of a successful point to point win. However, in turn, it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise to see him bounce back.
Big race verdict
This is highly competitive, with plenty of angles into the race. Can You Call has the most substantial piece of form, albeit in defeat, over course and distance on chase debut, and he is highly respected. However, GALOP DE CHASSE could have any amount in hand off of this revised handicap mark. He is offered up as the selection with improvement highly likely on the back of his yard/seasonal debut at Lingfield.
Dudman fancies a dame to kick off his daily double
Two previous Chepstow winners are on Alan Dudman’s radar on Thursday, and his Chepstow Sportsbook multiple will pay 16/1 if successful…
Timeform looking to get lucky at Newcastle
Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a Nap, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Newcastle on Thursday…
It’s a quiet day on the punting front, and if nothing else, we will learn what ?570,000 quid gets you these days at the sales when Classic Getaway makes his hurdling debut at Clonmel.
A staggering amount of money for a horse considering poor prize money has been at the centre of many discussions in the sport over the past 18 months – and beyond.
It is exciting from a fan’s perspective, though, and I can’t wait to watch him!
If you’re like me, then in a quiet January, you are always looking at the Cheltenham markets adding those small life-changer accas to your arsenal. I am rather surprised that Classic Getaway, given his price tag and owners and connections, is still available at 12/1 for the Ballymore.
He faces a very stiff task today; make no mistake about that, and if he passes, he will undoubtedly be in the top two in the betting. If he passes with flying colours, well, your guess is as good as mine!
Until tomorrow, be lucky
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