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Today’s Racing News: Cash for Sage as Newland runner halves in price at Taunton

There’s three meetings for punters to enjoy this Tuesday from Market Rasen, Taunton and Southwell. As ever, Daryl Carter is on hand with all the day’s betting info, stats and angles to guide you through.

Admittedly it is a slow start to the week, but Taunton is where we head for our feature race action. Market Rasen is the other jumps meeting, while flat fans have a competitive card at Southwell.

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

13:15 Taunton – Italian Spirit 7/1 into 5/1
13:50 Taunton – Muy Bien 4/1 into 5/2
15:35 Taunton – Sage Advice 22/1 into 11/1

Sage Advice is one of the best backed horses of the day, and connections will be hoping a change of tactics and the first time blinkers can spark him back to the form he showed in the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival last term off this seven pounds lower handicap mark. He was as big as 22/1 with the Betfair Sportsbook at midnight and is now 11/1.

The morning market drifters !

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

15:55 Market Rasen – Paseo 2/1 OUT 3/1

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

At Market Rasen, in the 13:00 handicap, Bold Plan 3.55/2 drops into a class 4 for the first time in his handicapping career. Four of the five runners are usually held up, and there looks to be a lack of pace in the race, which could be problematic for punters.

Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% strike rate at Market Rasen, and today, he sends three runners with his best chance Hometown Hero 2.35/4 in the 13:35 Novices Hurdle.

Trainer Tom Lacey has a 38% strike rate with handicap debutants and today runs Sweet Spirit 7.06/1 in the 14:10 at Market Rasen.

Trainer Ali Stronge is two for four 50% with runners over fences at Market Rasen and today has Rosearelli 8.07/1 in the 16:30, and his runner sports a first-time tongue-tie on handicap and chase debut.

In the 16:10 at Taunton, expensive purchase Bold Conduct 3.02/1 makes his handicap/chase debut off an opening handicap mark of 102 for Colin Tizzard in a weak event and is sporting a first-time tongue-tie.

Trainer Tom Lacey is two for two 100% in bumper races at Taunton and today runs Vengeance 10.09/1 in the 16:45.

At Southwell, jockey Connor Beasley and trainer John Mackie team up with Elhafei 2.915/8 in the 17:30 and the pair have a 50% strike rate when partnering.

Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.

13:50 Taunton – Kendelu – Has won here twice (50%)
17:00 Southwell – Tell’em Nowt – Has won here twice (100%)
18:30 Southwell – Light Lilly – Has won here four times (50%)

Weighted to go well

“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

14:10 Market Rasen – The Ravens Return – Has won off 113 runs off 98
15:20 Market Rasen – Young Wolf – Has won off 138 runs off 115
18:30 Southwell – Katheefa – Has won off 89 runs off 64

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.

Trainer Charlie Longsdon has had four winners from his last 11 runners for a 36% strike rate. Today he sends two runners to Market Rasen. 14:45 Shah An Shah 13.012/1 and Guetapan Collonges 2.915/8 at 15:20.

Furthest traveller

Today’s furthest traveller is trainer Nigel Hawke who makes the 257-mile journey to Market Rasen with two runners. Some Detail 5.59/2 in the 13:00 and Bring The Action 4.57/2 in the 15:55.

Race of the day

We head to Taunton for their competitive 15:00 Handicap Chase, which sees some old favourites down in grade and looking for a return to form and a couple of less exposed runners as a small field of six go to post.

SBK7/2

EXC5.1

Trainer: Colin Tizzard
Jockey: Brendan Powell
Age: 10
Weight: 12st 0lbs
OR: 132

Slate House goes back up to 3m for the first time over fences since running at Kempton this time last year off a handicap mark of 148, and he took a step back in the right direction when second at Wincanton over the shorter trip last time out.

He has fallen 16 pounds in the handicap down to a mark of 132, and the tongue-tie blinker combination is retained after his Wincanton run.

He is obviously well-handicapped if building on his latest effort, but he dropped out like a light last time when looking like the winner turning for home, and the step back up in trip may not be the answer.

He may be on the downgrade at the age of ten, and he is hard to back at such a short price in this contest, having proved unreliable in the past 18 months.

SBK15/8

EXC3.15

Trainer: Harry Fry
Jockey: K. Brogan
Age: 7
Weight: 11st 4lbs
OR: 122

Revels Hill was travelling strongly before unseating his rider at Southwell last time, and he is unexposed over fences and this trip of three miles.

His Hereford second-placed effort has been boosted by the winner, who scored again at the same venue in good style, and he remains on a very workable handicap mark of 122 with this track set to suit.

The booking of Kevin Brogan is a positive, and he has few questions to answer despite this step up in grade.

SBK7/2

EXC4.8

Trainer: Tom Lacey
Jockey: Stan Sheppard
Age: 8
Weight: 11st 12lbs
OR: 130

Highest Sun returns to action after 279 days off the track for his new yard who have a strong record at this venue, and he remains on a workable handicap mark of 130.

The concern is the absence as well as this right-handed track given his tendency to jump out to the left, and he is just one for 12 over fences.

He is a talented horse on his day, but he may be best watched on this occasion.

Big race verdict

There are others to consider. Wigglesworth was travelling like the winner before unseating his rider at Doncaster last time while Topofthecotswolds drops into calmer waters.

Still, Revels Hill has the least amount of questions to answer, and he looks a winner in waiting off of this lowly handicap mark, and connections look to have found the perfect opportunity.

Cheltenham Previews – Gold Cup

If you haven’t already, check out the Betfair ante-post previews for the Cheltenham Festival. Betfair writers are building up a collection of previews for the Cheltenham Festival with the latest Gold Cup preview below.

Timeform offer up three of their best at Southwell

Timeform’s Andrew Asquith highlights a NAP, Next Best and Each Way selection at Southwell on Tuesday.

Calvin’s early look at Saturday’s action

Final Word – stats problems

The Betfair Hurdle five day declarations were in yesterday with just 16 left. Still, it looks like a highly competitive renewal on Saturday, but only one horse fits the stats and trends – Knappers Hill.

Seven of the last ten winners came from Graded company last time out, and nine of the last ten placed in the first three and Novices have a great record.

Do I think Knappers Hill is well handicapped off his mark of 135? Not really, and there lies the issue of searching high and low for stats and trends for a race.

It can sway your judgement too much. And now I am caught in a predicament. I have backed Nicky Henderson’s First Street at 20/1 with the Betfair Sportsbook. They are offering four places at the time of writing and that was simply too big, and a mark of 141 could underestimate him slightly – but then we are getting into Supreme territory should he win impressively.

Hopefully, the final declaration stage will help make things a little clearer. Plenty like JPR One, while Fifty Ball looks an attractive proposition at this stage at 12/1 after finishing second off this mark in an arguably stronger renewal last term – who would need to defy the stats. See what I mean. I want to scrub my brain and start again!

It’s an excellent race to look forward to, though!

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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