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Today’s Racing News: A quiet Tuesday but a strong breeze expected at Lingfield

Three meetings to get stuck into for punters on Tuesday, Lingfield and Newcastle host the all-weather action, while Southwell looks a competitive seven-race jumps card.

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

12:40 Lingfield – Hoornblower 12/1 into 15/2
13:25 Southwell – Light N Strike 9/4 into 7/4
13:55 Southwell – Blame The Farrier 16/1 into 10/1
15:15 Lingfield – Hellavapace 9/2 into 10/3

The morning market drifters!

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

12:40 Lingfield – Yonafis 15/8 OUT 3/1
15:45 Newcastle – Lost My Sock 11/4 OUT 4/1
18:15 Newcastle – Redzone 11/4 OUT 10/3

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

Trainer Neil King has a 43% strike rate with his three-year-old runners at Lingfield and enters Sir Taweel 15.014/1 in the 15:15 MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Hands And Heels Apprentice Handicap.

Trainer’s Simon and Ed Crisford scored in this section yesterday with their only runner, and today, they send Kaasirr 2.35/4 to Lingfield in the 13:10 Watch Racing Free Online At Coral / EBF Maiden Stakes. The pair have a 39% strike rate with their two-year-olds here.

In the 14:15 Betway Handicap at Lingfield, three-year-olds have won four of the last six runnings with no horse rated below 86, and no horse rated higher than 92. This points to on horse – Mark Johnston’s Alba Rose 4.57/2.

Over at Southwell today, trainer Jonjo O’Neil will look to keep up his impressive 25% strike rate over fences with Cawthorne Lad 3.259/4 in the 12:25.

Trainer Harry Whittington has a 35% strike rate over hurdles at this venue. He sends one runner, Calidad 2.26/5, in the 14:30 Evanis A Legend, Wiguagain Duck Maiden Hurdle.

Lydford 1.75/7 returns to action for Dan, and Harry Skelton in the 15:00 Evanis A Legend, Wiguagain Duck Maiden Hurdle at Southwell and will look to go one better than when touched off by Zabeel Champion 15 days ago.

Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today’s tracks and could be in with a chance today.

14:45 Lingfield – Cafe Sydney – Has won here three times (100%)
16:45 Newcastle – Firmament – Has won here twice (33%)

Weighted to go well

“Weighted to go well” highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

15:15 Lingfield – Laurentia – Has won off 60 runs off 49
15:15 Lingfield – Broughtons Fire – Has won off 65 runs off 52
17:45 Newcastle – Qaaraat – Has won off 62 runs off 51

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.

Trainer David O’Meara has been operating at a 40% strike rate in the last 14 days scoring with six of his 15 runners. Today he sends eight runners to Newcastle.

Furthest traveller

Trainer Andrew Balding is today’s furthest traveller as he makes the 300 mile journey to Newcastle for two runners. He saddles Dance At Night 4.57/2 in the 16:15 and Jabbar 6.05/1 in the 19:15. The trainer has a 24% strike rate at this venue.

Race of the day

We head over to Lingfield for the 13:45 #betyourway At Betway Handicap in which a small field of five head to post. It looks competitive on paper with pros and cons for nearly all of the runners.

SBK13/8

EXC2.66

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Age: 4
Weight: 8st 7lbs
OR: 75

Rovaniemi caught the eye with a strong finishing effort at Kempton last time over seven furlongs, so the drop back to this six has to be a slight question mark.

He is a horse with plenty of potential, but his trip has been somewhat of an unknown in the past 18 months.

This is a step back up into class three company from class five, for which he has failed to make an impact in his six career attempts at this level.

However, this is not a deep class three event, and this is just his second start for his new yard, and he is still relatively lightly raced.

The positives are there to see but it’s hard to be confident on what he is likely to achieve.

SBK4/1

EXC5.1

Trainer: Sylvester Kirk
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Age: 5
Weight: 9st 7lbs
OR: 89

Benny And The Jets is interesting on this return to action off the back of a 379-day break, and a market check is advised.

He held his form well in class two and three events when last seen but remains five pounds higher than his last winning handicap mark and has proved vulnerable at the finish over this trip in the past.

Tactics will prove key here with a lack of pace in the race, but he’s probably one you want to back over five furlongs from a low draw at Kempton, where he has been seen to best effect. There are too many unknowns today.

SBK4/1

EXC5.6

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: George Rooke
Age: 5
Weight: 9st 7lbs
OR: 89

Top Breeze ran with extreme credit in class two 0-105 company last time out and today represents a drop in class for the first time on the all-weather since scoring at Chelmsford off a handicap mark of 85 back in June.

Thanks to his jockey’s claim, he is only one pound higher today, and he has some strong form at this track from last season and has scored three times over today’s trip.

His official rating suggests he is a better horse on the all-weather, and he has only had three attempts on the artificial surface this term with one easily excused on the back of a break in first-time cheek-pieces – the other two recorded a win and his latest second-placed effort in better company than this.

He has very few negatives today, and this looks like a good opportunity to notch career win number six.

Big race verdict

Rovaniemi remains with potential and is hard to dismiss totally, but every runner in the field has a question to answer other than TOP BREEZE. Richard Hughes’ runner has plenty in his favour today, and there seems to be no reason as to why he won’t give his running, so he looks the most appealing option by some way.

Timeform waltz to Newcastle for their best bets

Timeform’s Adam Houghton highlights a Nap, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Newcastle on Tuesday.

Read Timeform tips here.

Calvin with some Saturday advice for punters

Tony Calvin discusses the ante-post betting for Saturday’s Betfair Tingle Creek at Sandown and reveals why he’ll be keeping a close eye on Willie Mullins’ runners in the build-up…

Read Tony’s column here.

Final Word

I was reflecting on the weekend because, quite frankly, you can’t do enough watching back of races to gain valuable information.

While there were some stand-out performances at Newbury, the comparisons of Ahoy Senor to Denman were baffling, and the over-excitement of Jonbon’s performance by social media was crazy once reviewing the figures and the evidence.

It does worry me that many punters rely too much on the visual performance of a horse. Perhaps it’s the thought of new blood entering the ranks after last seasons embarrassment by the Irish at the Cheltenham Festival which makes us want to latch onto these horses that are yet to be tested at the highest level.

I beg people to remember that we are still in November, and with the ground being on the quicker side compared to most years, we are still looking at early season form.

In terms of ante-post betting for the Cheltenham Festival, the last few weeks have been the opportunity to take a chance on something at a big price rather than backing the likes of Jonbon at 2/1 (in a place) when he has much bigger tests ahead.

Now is the time to play it cool, calm and collective because we are yet to see what is to come out of the woodwork in Ireland, and it already feels as though some have forgotten the powers of Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott simply because a JP horse with a sexy profile beat rivals that would struggle in a handicap off 130.

The time is not now, but it is near!

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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