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Monday’s Racing Tip: 8/1 Ivan Grozny worth the gamble at Fairyhouse

Lewis Jones is eyeing up a Willie Mullins trained 8/1 shot at Fairyhouse today…

I’m sorry to disappoint you all, but the Irish Grand National isn’t on my punting agenda today as it’s a race with far too more angles and plausible winners to confidently recommend a wager on. Try as I might, I just couldn’t find a selection.

As always it’s bound to be a fine spectacle and a very exciting race but I’ll be sitting it out from a punting point of view this year, but if you have a fancy then go for it. There’s nothing like finding the winner of the Grand National.

I am staying in Ireland for my only selection of the day though as I’m hoping the first time hood trick works the usual oracle for the chances of Ivan Grozny in the Tayto Hurdle at 2:45 at Fairyhouse.

We’ve seen at the Cheltenham Festival over the last two seasons just how much the addition of a hood can improve a horse’s ability to settle and concentrate on the job in hand. Willie Mullins is a trainer that doesn’t reach for the headgear without good reason and looking at the way the selection ran in the Triumph Hurdle, it looks a wise decision.

The four-year-old was at one stage the ante-post favourite for the Triumph Hurdle after apparently working the house down at Mullins yard last summer and backing that up with a classy win in a maiden hurdle at Naas in January.

The horse hasn’t built on that impressive win though, pulling far too hard in the Spring Juvinile Hurdle behind Guitar Pete and Tiger Roll, who have both gone onto to win at Aintree and Cheltenham.

Ivan Grozny went to Cheltenham himself and was well backed for the Fred Winter off a mark of 136 but once again his jumping was very sketchy and he never settled under Ruby Walsh, finishing down the field.

I’m still inclined to give the horse another chance to show his true colours and this maybe the time to catch him in the hope of the headgear bringing out improvement. This looks a win or bust bet with no in between as the horse is likely to run a stinker or a belter.

My advice would be just to bet him on the nose rather than each-way at the advised 8/1 odds.

Get on with a two point win stake.

Profit and Loss Record Staked: 132pts Returned: 316.02pts P/L: +184.02pts

(Ante Post Bets: 1pt EW on Berkshire in 2000 Guineas)

 

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