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Horse Racing Tips: Rhys Williams’ NAP is a winning pointer at Kelso

Rhys Williams was on the mark with a winning 8/1 NAP yesterday and is back today with two selections at Wincanton and Kelso.

“The form of her debut victory in a point at Ffos Las is working out well”

Form of point debut win working out well

Kelso 15:50: So They Say 1pt win 7/1

Firth Of Forth and Pat’s Pick head the market for this maiden hurdle but the former has to show he can put two good runs together while I’m not convinced that the latter will be suited by this ground given his action. The ground could also be a concern for River Meadow given that he was taken out of a race at Newcastle two days ago because of unsuitable ground when it was officially good. If he runs, I look forward to the stewards’ report which will no doubt state that connections think that the good ground at Newcastle was different from today’s good ground.

So They Say has to prove her effectiveness on this ground but I think she may handle it and the form of her debut victory in a point at Ffos Las is working out well. She raced handily throughout and was still travelling well just over a length behind Honey I’m Good when that rival unseated rider at 4 out. She was slightly hampered by that but still held a comfortable advantage over her two remaining rivals and gradually drew further away from them, while not being given a hard ride, to win by twelve lengths.

SBK9/2

EXC6.6

Trainer: Lucinda Russell
Jockey: Derek Fox
Age: 6
Weight: 10st 13lbs
OR:

It’s tricky to know what would have happened had Honey I’m Good not unseated but she’s gone on to win both starts since very easily while the third finished second to her next time before winning a maiden by a wide margin at Chaddesley Corbett. So They Say was subsequently bought for ?30,000 to join Lucinda Russell.

It is a bit concerning that her new connections have reached for a tongue tie for her rules debut and, as stated earlier, she has to show she can perform as well on this much quicker ground but I think the market has overlooked her chance and any 6/1 or bigger appeals.

Facile success on point debut

Wincanton 16:40: Dollar Bae 1pt win 9/2

There’s been notable early market support for Treyarnon Bay in this bumper while Monkfish’s half-sister, Fishcake, will grab plenty of attention too although there has to be a doubt on breeding as to whether she will be sharp enough for this test on debut.

Dollar Bae was a wide-margin winner of a soft ground mares maiden point on debut but the manner in which she travelled through that race suggests she could be quick enough to handle today’s test of speed.

Her rider was still taking a pull approaching 4 out to avoid hitting the front too soon but Dollar Bae was left in front there after the crashing fall of Helenn Clermont. While her two nearest rivals came under driving, Dollar Bae cruised further and further clear and didn’t come off the bridle to win by 33 lengths.

SBK15/4

EXC5

Trainer: Jonjo O’Neill
Jockey: Jonjo O’Neill Jr.
Age: 5
Weight: 11st 0lbs
OR:

The runner up from that race won a maiden next time and was sold for ?52,000 while the third won a bumper at Wetherby on rules debut when sent off favourite.

As with Boolamore Glory, it is a bit concerning that Dollar Bae was only sold for ?40,000 after that win but she did have a slight issue at the sale that may have been the reason for that.

As long as her ability hasn’t been impacted by that, I think she’s likely to run well today and although she might ideally want a more galloping track I think she’s overpriced as a result of the attention surrounding Fishcake. Any 4/1 or bigger appeals.

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