Tipster Lewis Jones hit the crossbar yesterday as his best bet of the day Samstown (advised at 9/2 went off 5/2) ran a huge race in the Somerset National but after trading very short in running was mugged in the final 50 yards. This game can be gut-wrenching at times. He’s dusted himself down though and is back today with a small fancy from Musselburgh on what is very turgid day’s racing across the country. Bring on the Cheltenham Festival!
I’m not going to lie to you comrades, I’m still hurting after yesterday’s dagger through the heart at Wincanton. Samstown looked like a plot, was backed like a plot and ran like a plot, but was just outstayed in the conditions by a gutsy performance by Flying Award who was given a peach of a ride by the talented Lucy Gardner.
She and the horse weren’t winning anywhere but the line.
Let’s not dwell for too long, however, the standard of today’s card from Musselburgh has made it hard for us to try and strike back at the first time of asking.
In fairness, there is a couple of hefty prize funds on offer for a handicap chase and hurdle, but after scanning over the runners, it seems the markets have those races priced up to a tee.
With that in mind, we’ve searched elsewhere for a bet, and although stakes are recommended to be small, backing Tears From Heaven in the IMA Conditional Jockeys´ Handicap Chase (Betfair Scottish Chase Series Qualifier) at 6/1 could prove to be a very wise investment.
The horse in question is far from a certainty to come home in front but at the prices he rates as the value call against the weak favourite Twice Lucky, who looks massively short at 13/8 at the head of the betting.
There is a case to argue that the selection is unexposed over fences after scooting clear with a handicap off a mark of 70 in 2012 and then jumping badly which put pay to efforts when he was well backed at Southwell and Wetherby.
He hasn’t jumped a fence in public for over a year but ran with great enthusiasm on his return over hurdles in November.
Tears From Heaven is worth a one point win play at 6/1.
Profit and Loss Record Staked: 178pts Returned: 211.26pts P/L: +33.26pts
(Cheltenham ante post book: 2pts West Wizard in Supreme Novices Hurdle 8/1 & 1pts EW Harry Topper in Gold Cup 50/1 & 2pts EW Corrin Wood in RSA Chase 16/1)
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