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Daily Racing Multiple: Petticoat Lucy to put her rivals to the sword at Wincanton

Alan Dudman is backing trainer Jeremy Scott to continue his recent form, and he is with a front-runner at Kelso too in his 34/1 Sportsbook double for Thursday…

“He stays 2m4f and can make the running. Indeed, that was the potent combination that saw him dominate at Perth in the summer.”

Back Of Sword Of Fate @ 7.513/2 in the 15:20 at Kelso

Scott to add to his win tally from yesterday

Back Petticoat Lucy @ 7/2 in the 14:40 at Wincanton

SBK15/4

EXC5.4

Trainer: Jeremy Scott
Jockey: Lorcan Williams
Age: 6
Weight: 11st 7lbs
OR:

Trainer Jeremy Scott had a quiet start to the season, but his horses are improving the hit-rate of the yard at the moment with three winners from their last 10 runners at 30%. Ballyblack scored at Exeter yesterday comfortably, and he perhaps could have had two as Wavering Down was hampered very early by the falling favourite and was given little chance.

Scott has Petticoat Lucy in the 2m5f Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle, and the trip looks a good one for her following a comfortable success last time out at the track over shorter.

She made the running to score and stayed on strongly, so up another half a mile looks ideal.

Her previous effort on hurdling debut at Exeter produced a better time figure, and she looked a player for quite a while in that having been matched at 1.748/11 in-running. The form received a small boost as the winner was in next time, deep, against Noel Williams’ Speech Bubble, who could be a graded performer.

I like backing pacesetters at Wincanton, so there’s an opportunity for a back-to-lay bet. The Paul Nicholls-trained Sabrina is the second favourite, and actually shorter in the betting, but horses from Ditcheat are perhaps not quite firing, so I can pass on her.

Sword can take fate into his own hands from the front

Back Of Sword Of Fate @ 13/2 in the 15:20 at Kelso

SBK13/2

EXC7.2

Trainer: Leonard Kerr
Jockey: Derek Fox
Age: 9
Weight: 11st 3lbs
OR: 111

For once I am shunning a Lucinda Russell runner in Lucky Flight, who ran a better race last time in heavy conditions, but the quicker ground forecast for Thursday will be a different test, and while he has winning bumper form on today’s sort of surface, his best form appears to be with cut in the ground.

He’s 7/4 and is well treated, but perhaps not the most reliable.

I am happy to take a chance on Sword Of Fate, who landed a 2m1f contest at Kelso at the backend of last summer and travelled kindly in the good to soft ground. He also has enough form on a quicker terrain to make him of interest.

Last time he messed around at the start and effectively ruined his chance, although it was a 0-140 against some superior horses, so he swaps swimming with the sharks for calmer waters today.

He stays 2m4f and can make the running. Indeed, that was the potent combination that saw him dominate at Perth in the summer. On his old form he can still cut it off this sort of mark and he looks overpriced from a mark of 111.

Legend has it that the actual sword of fate is far more powerful than its foes. We can hope the legend rings true.

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