Lewis Jones delivers some breaking news that will make deciding your best bet for Cheltenham become a lot clearer….
Breaking news. Have you heard?
The betting rules are changing for the Cheltenham Festival.
In order to help punters succeed the government has stepped in and decided to implement a new law for 2016.
Punters are only allowed to place ONE bet for the entire Festival. There is no limit to the size of this stake, but what is being suggested is that punters combine their usual outlay over the four days and stake it all on one horse, their best bet of the week.
8/1 on Willie Mullin to train a Cheltenham winner!
Get it here:
Breaking news. That aforementioned scenario is not true – hopefully, that was pretty obvious to most of you. If it wasn’t, then go and take a long look in the mirror, you gullible fool.
But imagine if it was?
That fictional opening paragraph was written to get you thinking about which horse at this year’s Festival you simply can’t miss out on getting stick into. That horse in your mind should form the backbone of your staking plan for the entire week.
If this new government scheme was brought in, I know without hesitation where I’d want my entire balance to be riding on: Don Poli in the Gold Cup.
At 6/1 he still remains one of the best each-way bets I’ve ever seen at the Cheltenham Festival.
For starters, there is a weak favourite at the head of the betting. Vautour running over three miles is like Usain Bolt running the 400m. He’ll look good for a long way but will fall in a hole close home.
That can’t be said of Don Poli, who has all the bruising qualities needed for this unique test. He jumps well, stays all day, knows how to win races and has an impeccable Cheltenham Festival record, including winning the RSA Chase which is s fantastic guide for this race.
I’m so excited about roaring this streetwise chaser home on the Friday.
So much so, that maybe I should consider backing Don Poli with my entire budget. Is it such a crazy tactic to consider?
Looking back over my last five years of Festival punting, I know for sure that if I just backed my best bet with my entire betting budget for the week, I’d have turned more of a profit.
The New One winning the 2013 Neptune and Sire De Grugy in the 2014 Champion Chase were both my NAP of the week odds-against winners that would have put me firmly into the green for the week rather than bordering on breaking even.
Imagine the damage I could do to the bookmakers with a 6/1 winner with all my money down!? Saying that, for every year when your NAP hits the net, there’s always another year of disappointment.
Backing Don Cossack with the entire budget, who I thought was a certainty for the Ryanair last year but finished well beaten, would have been about as fun as fingering a bear trap.
Who are you kidding, Lewis? Are you really going to be a good little boy and stay disciplined over four days of pulsating punting action?
Not a chance. I can’t blooming wait!